Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 1.576731 1.959843 2.461111 3.186971 4.251599 5.829539 8.509926
2025-02-09 1.072489 1.471739 2.080168 3.149096 5.177424 9.438652 21.700012
2025-02-16 0.809321 1.176471 1.790231 3.015600 5.830628 13.863674 56.965204
2025-02-23 0.679100 1.033639 1.673171 3.101328 7.045983 22.992837 277.175002
2025-03-02 0.598052 0.946050 1.616219 3.273246 8.774249 42.698369 23351.754173
2025-03-09 0.525773 0.854676 1.518675 3.291826 10.140282 75.127414 NaN
2025-03-16 0.459105 0.759401 1.384477 3.142077 10.707411 115.475964 NaN
2025-03-23 0.425003 0.720280 1.362108 3.308339 13.239076 315.278753 NaN
2025-03-30 0.389803 0.672334 1.306281 3.342061 15.287645 986.478588 NaN
2025-04-06 0.354574 0.618708 1.224073 3.245834 16.378140 3437.751939 NaN
2025-04-13 0.325927 0.574936 1.157176 3.176579 17.717801 47694.391986 NaN
2025-04-20 0.315489 0.568666 1.184943 3.496309 24.488001 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.301238 0.552498 1.184534 3.717548 32.396854 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.281532 0.521453 1.136395 3.698712 37.125083 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.260545 0.485045 1.066112 3.537678 38.438307 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.248462 0.468033 1.049446 3.646343 48.497170 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.239734 0.457850 1.051138 3.862840 67.748405 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.227928 0.438852 1.021827 3.886341 82.374877 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.213434 0.411879 0.962825 3.697862 82.982760 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.207129 0.404476 0.965446 3.907197 122.541747 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.198591 0.390607 0.944360 3.949779 157.523562 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.188365 0.371573 0.903026 3.828382 169.911195 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.179458 0.355204 0.868506 3.741222 189.641961 NaN NaN